Emerging markets shares strengthen

02/04/2015 04:25 AST

Emerging stocks strengthened yesterday after surveys of Chinese factory and services activity came out at the top end of forecasts, albeit indicating stubborn weakness in the economy.

Three separate surveys showed Chinese companies shed jobs last month as they struggled with soft demand, suggesting that economic growth may have slipped below 7% in the first quarter of 2015.

However, the numbers were better than many had expected and Chinese stocks rose, with the Shanghai market advancing 1.7%. In broader markets, the MSCI Emerging equities index rose 0.2% to its highest level in a week.

“The numbers were weak but they performed reasonably well and helped lift both equity markets and currencies, which are riding on positive sentiment,” said Per Hammarlund, emerging markets strategist at SEB.

Russian manufacturing activity shrank of the fourth straight month in March, however, according to the HSBC Purchasing Managers’ Index, which combined with pressure from a weak oil market drove the rouble down 0.4% against the dollar. “This is the first indication that numbers from Russia are really consolidating downwards.

It’s been a mixed picture and difficult to interpret so far, but if you ever were hesitant about what was happening to the Russian economy, this is a clear signal that it will be a recession this year,” Hammarlund said.

Elsewhere, Nigerian dollar government and bank bonds clocked a second day of gains, with sovereign issues hitting the highest levels since mid-December after opposition leader Muhammadu Buhari’s victory in a presidential election.

Nigeria’s 2018 issue rose 0.875 cents to 99.5 cents in the dollar while the 2021 and 2023 issues both gained 1 cent to change hands at 104cents and 102cents respectively .

Turkish PMI numbers showed factory activity fell to a six-year low in March, driving the lira down 0.2% against the dollar.

In contrast, eastern European assets were higher, enjoying a lift from strong German manufacturing PMI which showed activity picking up at its fastest pace in almost a year. Hungary’s forint was 0.5% up against the euro while Poland’s zloty advanced 0.2%. Stocks gained across the region, with Prague equities gaining 0.4% and Budapest rising 0.5%.

Reuters