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The euro slipped on Monday after German Chancellor Angela Merkel won a fourth term but faced a fractured parliament as support for the far-right surged, while Asian shares pulled back, weighed by concerns about China’s economy.
The New Zealand dollar also took a hit as the ruling National Party won the largest number votes in a weekend election but failed to secure a ruling majority, with a protracted period of coalition building now a possibility.
Spreadbetters expected European stocks to start slightly lower, forecasting Britain’s FTSE to open down 0.1 per cent, Germany’s DAX to open little changed and France’s CAC to start 0.2 per cent lower.
The euro slid 0.2 per cent to $1.1933, putting more distance between a 2-1/2-year high of $1.2092 reached on September 8, when a European Central Bank policy meeting left currency bulls optimistic the ECB would begin tapering its big stimulus programme.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan handed back earlier modest gains and was last down 0.6 per cent.
Two years after Merkel left German borders open to more than 1 million migrants, the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD) stunned the establishment by becoming the first far-right party to enter parliament in more than half a century.
Merkel now turns to the task of sounding out new partners to build a coalition government after her current Social Democrat (SPD) coalition partner said it would go into opposition. “The market reacted by selling the euro on the possibility of Merkel running into difficulties in forging a coalition.
The euro, however, was already losing support from the European Central Bank’s monetary policy theme and appeared to be on its way lower,” said Daisuke Karakama, Chief Market Economist at Mizuho Bank in Tokyo.
“The election outcome in Germany showed the country was no longer a special presence in Europe amid growing support for populism and the far right.”
In New Zealand, the kiwi, the world 11th most-traded currency, was down 1 per cent at $0.7264 and headed for its biggest intra-day percentage loss since May. It was at a 1-1/2-month high of $0.7435 as recently as September 20, when speculation for a comfortable ruling party win had boosted the currency.
“While there are a few different scenarios and some potentially testy issues to negotiate, ultimately the political landscape appears as though it will remain relatively centralist and we are reasonably agnostic on what it all means,” wrote economists at ANZ.
Chinese stocks remained shaky after falling towards the end of last week following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish policy stance and S&P’s downgrade of China’s sovereign rating. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was down 1 per cent and Shanghai slipped 0.4 per cent after a number of Chinese cities rolled out new measures to cool housing prices.
Investor sentiment was also undermined by concerns that China’s beefed-up environmental protection could reduce demand, and consequently economic growth.
South Korea’s KOSPI shed 0.4 per cent while Japan’s Nikkei bucked the trend and rose 0.5 per cent thanks to the yen’s weakening against the dollar.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed slightly higher on Friday as worries about the Graham-Cassidy proposal to reform US health insurance eased and investors shrugged off concerns about North Korea.
The pound inched up after sliding on Friday when British Prime Minister Theresa May failed to give any concrete details for how Britain might retain preferential access to Europe’s single market after Brexit.
The currency faced additional pressure on Friday after ratings agency Moody’s downgraded Britain’s credit rating, saying the government’s plans to bring down its heavy debt load had been knocked off course and Brexit would weigh on the economy.
Sterling was up 0.3 per cent at $1.3544 after losing 0.6 per
Oman Daily Observer
The euro could revisit its year-to-date low as persistent political risks may lead Mario Draghi to refrain this week from painting a rosier picture for the bloc’s economy.
Market dynamics h
Emerging markets will likely be beholden this week to a series of key decisions in the US. Top of the list is an announcement due as early as Monday on whether the US Treasury will name China a curre
Turkey’s lira and stocks rose on Monday on hopes of a thaw in relations between Ankara and Washington while a late rally last week on Wall Street offered little respite for other emerging market stoc
The Gulf Today
Sterling hit a new 3-1/2 month high versus the euro and added to gains against the dollar on Wednesday on optimism that Britain and the European Union can agree a Brexit deal soon.
The Indian rupee plummeted further against the UAE dirham as the US dollar strengthened on Thursday.
As of 8:31 am, the Asian currency stood at 20.25 against the dirham and 74.4 against th