GulfBase Live Support
19/01/2016 05:25 AST
OPEC forecast on Monday that oil supply from non-member countries will post a
larger-than-expected decline this year due to the collapse in prices, boosting the need for crude from the producer group.
Supply outside the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) would decline by 660,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2016, led by the United States, OPEC said in a report. Last month, OPEC predicted a drop of 380,000 bpd.
"The analysis indicates that 2016 will be a supply-driven market. It will also be the year when the rebalancing process starts," OPEC said.
"Non-OPEC marginal barrel production in the next six months will be sensitive to sustained low oil prices."
Brent crude, the global benchmark, was last down 18 cents a barrel at $28.76, having earlier dipped below $28 for the first time since December 2003.
A drop in non-OPEC supply would reduce a supply glut which has prompted oil prices to collapse to below $28 a barrel, the lowest since 2003. OPEC's 2014 strategy shift to defend market share and not prices helped deepen the decline.
The price drop has started to slow the development of relatively expensive supply sources such as US shale oil and forced companies to delay or cancel billions of dollars worth of projects, putting some future supplies at risk.
But OPEC's report makes no mention of the supply impact of the lifting of Western sanctions on member-country Iran, which on Monday said it was increasing output by 500,000 bpd — which
would fill most the hole left by non-OPEC members.
For now, OPEC said it pumped less oil in December, reducing the excess in the market. Production including returning OPEC member Indonesia fell by 210,000 bpd to 32.18 million bpd in December, the report said, citing secondary sources.
The report points to a 530,000-bpd supply surplus this year if the group keeps pumping at December's rate, down from 860,000 bpd implied in last month's report.
OPEC left its 2016 global oil demand growth forecast little changed, predicting global demand would rise by 1.26 million bpd, marking a slowdown from 1.54 million bpd in 2015.
Arab News
Ticker | Price | Volume |
---|---|---|
SABIC | 114.77 | 5,915,941 |
(In US Dollar) | Change | Change(%) | |
---|---|---|---|
Brent | 68.12 | -2.02 | -2.88 |
WTI | 63.51 | 0.5 | 0.79 |
OPEC Basket | 64.98 | -1.5 | -2.26 |
05/04/2018
Opec crude production dropped to the lowest in a year amid the woes in Venezuela’s oil industry. Output from the 14 members of Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries fell by 170,000 barrels to
Gulf News
03/04/2018
Oil’s rally above $65 a barrel is being propelled by a sign that American explorers have curtailed drilling activity as well as ongoing speculation that the US could reimpose sanctions on Opec produc
Gulf News
29/03/2018
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) is seeking “very long-term” cooperation with other crude exporters, the secretary general of the oil exporting group said on Wednesday.
The Gulf Today
28/03/2018
Saudi Arabia and Russia are working on a long-term oil pact that could extend controls over world crude supplies by major exporters for up to 20 years, the Kingdom’s crown prince has said.
Arab News
27/03/2018
International oil prices are likely to tick up into the “high-sixties” further into 2018, according to Dr Mohammed bin Hamad al Rumhy, (pictured) Minister of Oil and Gas. Speaking at the opening of t
Oman Daily Observer